Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Financials and Real Estate Power Yesterday’s Rally

As the two graphics below depict, yesterday’s 400+ point rally in the DJIA was led by the financial and real estate sectors – two of the worst performing sectors over the past year and undoubtedly the two sectors that have suffered most from the US credit crisis.

I found it interesting that two cyclical sectors, basic materials and transportation, were also disproportionately strong during yesterday’s rally. While most of yesterday’s strongest sectors have been underperformers as of late, one sector where recent strength shows no signs of abating is oil and gas, where yesterday’s impressive performance was another instance of the rampaging commodities bull.

For an excellent longer term perspective on sector performance, I highly recommend Monday's Sector Strength analysis from fellow blogger HeadlineCharts.

In the first 40 minutes of today’s session, no sector has yet stepped to the front of the pack to provide the leadership needed to suggest that yesterday’s move has staying power, but the session is still young. Sector leadership in the coming days and weeks will have a lot to say about whether yesterday’s big move has legs, with financial and real estate stocks acting as an indicator species of sorts.


1 comments:

Unknown said...

So someone who had hedged a long SPX/market position with short XLF might have regretted that decision yesterday? :)

otoh the VIX dropped nearly 3 pts. on the rally, so too large a hedge with the VIX might also have caused regrets.

DISCLAIMER: "VIX®" is a trademark of Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated is not affiliated with this website or this website's owner's or operators. CBOE assumes no responsibility for the accuracy or completeness or any other aspect of any content posted on this website by its operator or any third party. All content on this site is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended as advice to buy or sell any securities. Stocks are difficult to trade; options are even harder. When it comes to VIX derivatives, don't fall into the trap of thinking that just because you can ride a horse, you can ride an alligator. Please do your own homework and accept full responsibility for any investment decisions you make. No content on this site can be used for commercial purposes without the prior written permission of the author. Copyright © 2007-2023 Bill Luby. All rights reserved.
 
Web Analytics