Sunday, July 29, 2007

Portfolio A1 Last Seen in Woodshed

While the SPX, DJIA and NASDAQ Composite all feel somewhere in the 4.0 - 4.7% range during the past week, Portfolio A1 plummeted 9.2%, dragging the portfolio’s aggregate performance down below that of the benchmark S&P 500 index for the first time in four months.

Southern Copper (PCU) was the only holding to fare better than the indices, losing 3.3% on the week. The next ‘best’ performers, Mobile TeleSystems OJSC (MBT) and Terex (TEX), fell 7.7% and 8.6 respectively. Two other holdings logged double digit losses on the week, with Amkor (AMKR) off 11.9% and Pinnacle Airlines (PNCL) plummeting 13.6% by Friday’s closing bell. Pinnacle’s performance is largely responsible for it being dropped from the portfolio and replaced by Navistar International (NAVZ), a stock I owned some 23 years ago when it was International Harvester. While the company has had some extremely difficult challenges in the intervening years, a recent $623 million contract award to the military vehicles division suggests considerable upside potential. Navistar lost only 1.0% last week and has the potential for a significant upside surprise in more favorable market conditions.

There are no other changes to the portfolio for the coming week.

A snapshot of the portfolio is as follows:

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