Think the market
is too complacent about this weekend’s election in France? Worried that the euro area is going
to crumble under the weight of Italy’s struggles? Convinced that Greece, Portugal or Spain are just one
more kicked can away from a disaster?
As of tomorrow,
investors in the U.S. will have another way to translate these ideas into
actionable trades with tomorrow’s launch of two new exchange-traded notes (ETNs)
– EVIX (long
euro zone volatility) and EXIV (inverse euro
zone volatility) – from VelocityShares and UBS that put a European face on existing U.S. VIX-based products such as VIIX and perennial
favorite XIV.
Based on the VSTOXX, the VIX-like
volatility index for the EURO STOXX 50 Index
of 50 blue-chip stocks from 11 euro zone countries, EVIX and EXIV should be
familiar to those who are knowledgeable about VXX and VIIX on the
long volatility side as well as XIV and SVXY on the short
volatility side. EVIX and EXIV are based
on VSTOXX futures and have a target maturity of 30 days – a maturity that is
maintained by rolling a portion of the portfolio each day and therefore subjecting
both products to the vagaries of contango and backwardation. In the event these are terms you are not
familiar with, I strongly recommend that you click on the links above and
educate yourself. Believe it or not, this
is the ninth year I have been talking about the VIX futures
term
structure, negative roll yield,
contango and backwardation. (Those who
have been paying attention since the early days of VXX and VXZ have no doubt
profited mightily from this knowledge.)
The beauty of
EVIX and EXIV is that these products create so much flexibility for investors
who maintain a global, cross-asset class view of volatility. In the run-up to the first round of the French
election, for example, VSTOXX spiked dramatically and pushed the VSTOXX:VIX
ratio below 1.00, creating some interesting arbitrage opportunities and/or
pairs trades in the process. Now
investors can trade euro zone volatility against U.S. volatility, use targeted
hedges for risk that is specific to the euro zone or speculate more easily
about the direction of volatility in the euro zone.
I encourage everyone to study the EVIX and EXIV prospectus closely.
I encourage everyone to study the EVIX and EXIV prospectus closely.
This is a huge
development in the volatility space and if options on EVIX and EXIV follow
later this week, as expected, the volatility trading landscape will be much richer
and more diverse.
Now if we can
only get liquid volatility products for gold volatility (GVZ) and crude oil
volatility (OVX),
I won’t even have to set out a stocking next to the chimney this Christmas.
While I’m at it,
why are there no options on XIV? This is
such a popular high-beta product that it deserves options so traders can
express a broader range of opinions on volatility. Readers, it never hurts to nudge the CBOE on
these issues. An outpouring of popular
sentiment can make a difference.
As the risk of
charging off into full rant mode, I feel compelled to say that I hope
volatility investors know a good thing when they see it. It is a shame that VXST futures did not
attract enough attention to hang around and that VMAX and VMIN are not
trading with higher volumes. One of the
best volatility products ever created, ZIV, nearly died
of neglect before investors finally paid it some attention.
As I see it,
EVIX and EXIV as well as VMAX and VMIN are test cases for the future of the breadth
of volatility products. If you would
like a diverse tapestry of volatility products in the future, it would not hurt
to “buy local” volatility ETPs rather than sticking to the handful of already
successful products. If you don’t vote
with your feet, you had better be happy playing in a small and rather limited
sandbox. I am fond of
saying, “In volatility, there is opportunity!” – but that opportunity is a
function of the richness of the various volatility product platforms.
Last but not
least, I know Eurozone and eurozone are the preferred spellings, but I am
sticking to the two-word “euro zone” with as much stubbornness as I can
muster. What can I say, I am short
convention…
Further Reading:
- The Evolution of European Equity Risk
- Euro Volatility and Risk
- Greek Elections and the Future of the Euro
- Handicapping the Chances of Greece Dropping the Euro
- Chart of the Week: VSTOXX, VIX and the Risk of Global Contagion
- The Hollande Discount
- Expectations, Surprises and Fear in 2011
- Chart of the Week: European Stocks Holding Up Well
- Recent Performance Divergence in European ETFs
- Where and When Will the Euro Bottom?
- Greece, Spain and the Pulse of European Anxiety
- Are You Watching Greece?
- Guest Columnist at The Striking Price for Barron’s: How to Spot Risk Early
- XIV and ZIV Are Huge Success Stories Two Years After Launching
- ZIV Undeservedly Neglected
- Impressive Launch for Sextet of New Volatility ETNs from VelocityShares
- VMAX and VMIN Poised to Be Most Important VIX ETP Launch in Years
- Why VXX Is Not a Good Short-Term or Long-Term Play
- VXX Calculations, VIX Futures and Time Decay
- The Evolution of the Volatility Index Family Tree
For those who
may be interested, you can always follow me on Twitter at @VIXandMore
Disclosure(s): net short VXX and VMAX; net long
XIV and ZIV at time of writing. The CBOE is an advertiser on VIX and More.