Wednesday, March 28, 2007

CNBC Million Dollar Portfolio Challenge Update

I am happy to report that as of last night, I am now in the top 1% in the CNBC Million Dollar Portfolio Challenge at #4577 out of what appears to be about a half million participants.

I was going to keep this news under wraps until the weekend, but since I like to call market tops a little early, I thought I'd share the news today in the event my position starts to 'correct' a little.

Briefly, energy and copper stocks have helped propel me to my current standing and I am heavily weighted in oil, gas and uranium at the moment. In most stock contests, it pays to take ridiculous risks in hopes of lucking into a triple digit return. I have not yet succumbed to that temptation. Instead, making largely incremental gains here and there, I am up 27%. As long as I continue to outperform the market and move up the leader board, I will not be putting all my chips on my favorite number -- until perhaps the last 2-3 weeks of the competition.

For those who may be interested, the photo to the left is of Clifford Brown, one of my favorite trumpet players. I figured that if I were going to toot my own horn, I should also acknowledge the work of a true master, who, sadly, had so little time to dazzle us with his talent.

Update: According the Portfolio Challenge blog, the top ten contestants are already sitting on 100% gains, so I may have to rethink my strategy sooner rather than later...

94 comments:

dk said...

Nice going. I slipped into the Top 5% a few days back myself. I did so rather unwisely, using an enormous portfolio of 15 stocks. It's gained me 18% while reducing beta, but it's not the path to 100% gains - LOL!.

Well done, Bill.

best

David

Bill Luby said...

Hi David. Of course the greater feat is risk-adjusted return, but, sadly, the point of these contests is to maximize risk...which explains why I am down to a single stock 'portfolio' for now.

Keep up the good work,

-Bill

Unknown said...

I am in the top 1000 and my first trade was on Monday 3-26-2007. Overextended small caps are the way to win.

Bill Luby said...

Nicely done, F -- and belated thanks for your comments on the use of the total put to call ratio.

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Great blog. I too have been studying volatility indexes rigorously since last fall. There really is a lot of important market data hidden in them.

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DISCLAIMER: "VIX®" is a trademark of Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated. Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated is not affiliated with this website or this website's owner's or operators. CBOE assumes no responsibility for the accuracy or completeness or any other aspect of any content posted on this website by its operator or any third party. All content on this site is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only and is not intended as advice to buy or sell any securities. Stocks are difficult to trade; options are even harder. When it comes to VIX derivatives, don't fall into the trap of thinking that just because you can ride a horse, you can ride an alligator. Please do your own homework and accept full responsibility for any investment decisions you make. No content on this site can be used for commercial purposes without the prior written permission of the author. Copyright © 2007-2023 Bill Luby. All rights reserved.
 
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