tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-897456774486153841.post5591620908497276143..comments2024-03-29T03:46:10.767-07:00Comments on VIX and More: Waiting for the Next Shoe to Drop?Bill Lubyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01241003017364820134noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-897456774486153841.post-91807518841817575962009-04-10T18:03:00.000-07:002009-04-10T18:03:00.000-07:00i like your analogy of comparing now to may 2008. ...i like your analogy of comparing now to may 2008. agreed. i mean this isn't oct 2008 but we are in may 2008 and we are headed to july 2008.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-897456774486153841.post-79592923501831738812009-04-10T09:55:00.000-07:002009-04-10T09:55:00.000-07:00Same arguement, by looking at the 30 years t-bonds...Same arguement, by looking at the 30 years t-bonds with yield = 3.75%, do you think in the next 30 years the inflation is less than 4% in total? Perhaps, we just can't rely on just one index. <BR/><BR/>Besides, the VIX/VXV ratio is getting lower, the selling point is approaching. I don't have the data but I suspect 2008 March-May, the market was very similar to the present situation.<BR/><BR/>just my two cents,<BR/><BR/>ManAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-897456774486153841.post-69029058175929206402009-04-09T19:23:00.000-07:002009-04-09T19:23:00.000-07:00i don't know about the vix, but i saw a huge amoun...i don't know about the vix, but i saw a huge amount of put buying today in spx options and i suspect this is the end of this incredible rally.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-897456774486153841.post-81568288677132253812009-04-09T10:42:00.000-07:002009-04-09T10:42:00.000-07:00I am still looking at a new range of 33 to 40 for ...I am still looking at a new range of 33 to 40 for the rest of the month. I think we should see breakouts at the end of April when they announce the conclusion of the banking stress tests.Erichttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04630536319901757179noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-897456774486153841.post-51531536653357337492009-04-08T13:36:00.000-07:002009-04-08T13:36:00.000-07:00can we have two markets. A simple straightforward...can we have two markets. A simple straightforward one that allows only investor of a million or less, and the other POS market that is so contrived that I would have better luck at a casino.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-897456774486153841.post-15209551163112540922009-04-08T09:42:00.000-07:002009-04-08T09:42:00.000-07:00one immediate consequence of the vix's non-spiking...one immediate consequence of the vix's non-spiking when the market drops is that vix will lose its "sexiness". imagine the market's "fear gauge" suddenly loses its effectiveness to predict when the market will drop and the media will stop bombarding us with news how high the vix has spiked once again and they'll lose the opportunity to report these events in a sensational way. this is happening because some retail investors have been using the vix as buy and sell signals to time the market and some institutional investors don't like it. that's why they are shorting the market in a "stealthy" manner such that the vix remains depressed but the market drops anyway so retail investors' money is taken away "on the fly".Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-897456774486153841.post-71087791718539651572009-04-08T08:57:00.000-07:002009-04-08T08:57:00.000-07:00did someone say the stock market is manipulated???...did someone say the stock market is manipulated??? That's old news.<BR/><BR/>JimmyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-897456774486153841.post-15986839296372162712009-04-08T08:51:00.000-07:002009-04-08T08:51:00.000-07:00PankajWho would be manipulting the VIX and why?Dou...Pankaj<BR/><BR/>Who would be manipulting the VIX and why?<BR/><BR/>DouglasDouglasnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-897456774486153841.post-34831429265773307012009-04-08T08:37:00.000-07:002009-04-08T08:37:00.000-07:00VIX formula is open for manipulation I feel at tim...VIX formula is open for manipulation I feel at times. I mean how can you control the value of $VIX and say that it is touching the EMAs or supports, unless you literally flood put orders on indexes to pump the $vix.... Am I making any sense?Pankajhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13478816568647309907noreply@blogger.com